Do these guys use spreadsheets?

by Volker Weber

NYT op-ed on "How to Take Baghdad". There are some weird miscalculations like this one:

One thousand fatalities is, by historical standards, a relatively low price to pay to conquer a country of 24 million people.

The author only counts the aggressor's fatalities and not the tens of thousands defending the city. But then he closes with a very good remark:

But the American public was led into this war with intimations that few of Mr. Hussein's soldiers would fight hard for their leader. America would do well not to embark on future wars whose political success depends on the assumption that the enemy won't fight.

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So siehts halt aus, wenn Zivilisten Kriegspläne machen.

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I explain difficult concepts in simple ways. For free, and for money. Clue procurement and bullshit detection.

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