Ever wondered why I don't predict the future?

by Volker Weber

Tomi T Ahonen:

I am confident on February 11, Nokia's new CEO Stephen Elop will be announcing a strategy that acknowledges these elements of its current leadership. Nokia has issues and needs to change and is struggling in many ways. But do not expect Nokia to announce it is abandoning Symbian (and/or MeeGo) in favor of Phone 7 or Android. That won't happen.

Bzzt. Scratch one analyst.


Never say never.

Julian Woodward, 2011-02-12

I didn't say ever, or did I? ;-)

Volker Weber, 2011-02-12

A bit of history on Microsoft mobile partners:
Interesting read...

Hans Bornich, 2011-02-12

Always say never to Microsoft, and now also to Nokia. Oracle actually went from the bad boys to the good boys by buying SUN and making Java a licensed product. This basically kills all Java apps, which is good.

Mika Heinonen, 2011-02-12

Why the Tunisian revolution won't spread (to Egypt, etc.)


John Vaughan, 2011-02-12

Or maybe you don't predict the future because it's a much more confortable situation for you to critisize the "non hype" companies and point to their mistakes while wating for the next UPS box containing the latest "in the mood" device from a company expecting a good review on your web site...

In France we have something like "Il n'y a que ceux qui ne font rien qui ne se trompent jamais" that could be translated to "Only those who do nothing neither make mistakes" and I think it particullarily makes sens to you.

Michael Bourak, 2011-02-13

Michael, you are falling into a common trap. You think you know who I am because you read my website.

Volker Weber, 2011-02-13

@Vowe : so, show us your constructive side and what you build / construct / envision / plan....

Michael Bourak, 2011-02-13

No, Michael, I won't. First of all, I don't answer to you, and second, I sign confidentiality agreements with my customers.

Volker Weber, 2011-02-13

@Vowe : ok, thanks for anwering my provocative post though.

Can we conclude that, whoever we are (IBM or Vowe) it's not always possible to give a 100% satisfying answser publically at a precise moment...or even to come up with a response. For some "reasons"...

Michael Bourak, 2011-02-13

I can give you this much: I tend to work for very large organizations that have similar defects to those IBM has. My expertise is to work around these defects and enable people to get their real job done. "Clue procurement and bullshit detection" are two parts of that business. Bad performance, bad decisions, they all happen for a reason. Where IBM is concerned, I can only point them out. Where I am engaged, I can also solve them.

You are not with IBM, are you?

Volker Weber, 2011-02-13

@Vowe : no I'm not an IBMer (used to be, 10years ago).

But I continue to use their products, when they apply, and others when they are better suited.

Michael Bourak, 2011-02-13

Old vowe.net archive pages

I explain difficult concepts in simple ways. For free, and for money. Clue procurement and bullshit detection.


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