The AI-collapse pre-mortem

Bert Hubert:

An essential part of being able to say ‘I told you so’ is in fact having told you so. Here goes.

In April 2023, I wrote an article titled AI: Guaranteed to disrupt our economies. In this piece I also announced I was going to make a fool of myself by making some AI predictions. I have singularly failed to do so. In retrospect this was all spot on, except for perhaps missing the sheer magnitude of the madness that was about to ensue.

We’ve since had 30 further months to think about AI and to observe what it can and can’t do. Meanwhile, wise people (and Sam Altman) are starting to talk about AI possibly being a bubble that is about to burst (herehere and here).

When this happens, lots of people will be ready with reviews of how AI apparently sucks, or why we suck. I’d like to get my word in first, in this AI-collapse pre-mortem.

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One thought on “The AI-collapse pre-mortem”

  1. Thank you for finding this. I guess the talking frog in my pocket is not as cool as the chess-playing dove. However, I learned a lot about RNNs. This is actually a fascinating field I’m diving into ore recently in search of practical business applications. So far I’m coming up empty. I don’t want to stoop down to Palantir level

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